Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.004350 3.332562 3.687521 4.100881 4.570203 5.087859 5.703898
2025-04-27 2.566939 3.015677 3.535196 4.184824 4.980544 5.930019 7.158533
2025-05-04 2.288617 2.804915 3.433717 4.263631 5.341665 6.710488 8.605651
2025-05-11 2.076010 2.631474 3.336026 4.307716 5.632728 7.405446 10.006560
2025-05-18 1.907055 2.486736 3.247721 4.337549 5.887681 8.059357 11.416114
2025-05-25 1.717958 2.292491 3.068282 4.214562 5.903663 8.364375 12.342315
2025-06-01 1.583646 2.158285 2.954541 4.165574 6.010065 8.798332 13.503675
2025-06-08 1.475418 2.049872 2.864971 4.138269 6.138385 9.269207 14.774083
2025-06-15 1.427974 2.023569 2.889588 4.280594 6.537548 10.203517 16.940070
2025-06-22 1.345008 1.937634 2.817133 4.263293 6.675235 10.719330 18.441222
2025-06-29 1.264706 1.849381 2.733392 4.218563 6.759411 11.147663 19.835278
2025-07-06 1.154153 1.707213 2.555510 4.004636 6.533542 11.004040 20.112326
2025-07-13 1.100081 1.651183 2.512107 4.014611 6.704822 11.606849 21.978812
2025-07-20 1.064954 1.622769 2.510886 4.095844 7.011285 12.497343 24.585335
2025-07-27 1.031694 1.594833 2.507833 4.172548 7.315776 13.419365 27.418546
2025-08-03 0.994867 1.558378 2.487412 4.215497 7.559190 14.247734 30.188162
2025-08-10 0.958524 1.520246 2.461080 4.244571 7.777107 15.048527 33.037946
2025-08-17 0.900462 1.441789 2.359499 4.124688 7.684828 15.178411 34.271167
2025-08-24 0.858431 1.388448 2.298649 4.076932 7.734061 15.620236 36.370724
2025-08-31 0.822690 1.344020 2.250842 4.050313 7.824065 16.162949 38.837025
2025-09-07 0.813369 1.345465 2.285943 4.189054 8.280014 17.605658 44.058782
2025-09-14 0.782769 1.307131 2.245268 4.172190 8.393704 18.251666 47.156560
2025-09-21 0.750587 1.264247 2.193513 4.128588 8.442975 18.746213 49.911365